Nathaniel Rakich

When former President Donald Trump was in the White House, he bragged on Twitter, “As long as I campaign and/or support Senate and House candidates (within reas…

Are pollsters afraid to survey Wisconsin? It sure looks like it. Wisconsin’s U.S. Senate race has the second-fewest polls of any competitive Senate race nationw…

When people of color see politicians who look like them, it can have profound effects. Political science research suggests that this so-called “descriptive repr…

Each election year, politicians spend more and more money on television advertising — and the issues they focus on reveal a lot about their priorities. Here, se…

Abortion bans, right-to-work laws, voting restrictions — for years, a lot of the major legislation coming out of state capitols has been conservative. But after…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): I don’t want to …

If Rep. Kevin McCarthy didn’t have a lucky number before, it’s surely 15 now. Just after midnight on Saturday morning, the House of Representatives finally vote…

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): President Biden …

Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: In November 2022, Democrats in four states achieved trifectas. No, they didn’t get lucky down at the track — although they did win …

Transcript Nathaniel Rakich: The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated. After the 2016 and 2020 elections, when the polls had a rough year, a lot of peo…