Sean Trende

The first in a four-part series In 2009, the lead author of this piece co-wrote a series of articles with Jay Cost, who was then with RealClearPolitics. That series (the lead author’s first...

The third part in a series Over the course of this five-part series, we’ve developed a few themes. One has been that the problems that beset the Democratic...

Part 4 in a series We now turn our attention to the biggest prize of the 2016 election: the Midwest. This region has largely been where our national...

As a few observant readers have noted, one thing that has been missing entirely from this series is race. This is a bit odd, given that virtually all election analysis this cycle has focused on that...

When President Trump’s job approval numbers began their nose dive in earnest in mid-May, a friend asked me what I thought was going on. After all, at that...

Last month, I posed this question: “If President Trump wins, what should we have paid attention to that would have allowed us to see it coming?” The...

Every now and again, an otherwise arcane legal topic suddenly becomes relevant to contemporary political debate. At that point, general commentary suddenly...

The 2022 United States Senate elections can best be thought of as the classic battle between the irresistible force and the immovable object. The irresistible...

I’m serious – don’t pay attention to early voting. About this time in every election cycle analysts become starved for data to analyze. Of course, actual...

Analysts are carefully parsing the results from Tuesday’s off-year elections. The truth is that these are an odd collection of races: Elections in two...